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HomeFinance NewsFlorida Cities, Including Tampa, Face 'High Risk' of Dropping Home Prices

Florida Cities, Including Tampa, Face ‘High Risk’ of Dropping Home Prices

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Tarek El Moussa, the host of HGTV’s ‘Flipping 101,’ recently appeared on ‘Fox & Friends’ to discuss the slight reduction in mortgage rates and its potential impact on the real estate market. Florida’s real estate sector has faced challenges due to high home prices and rising insurance costs. A new report indicates that, nationwide, home values are anticipated to increase slightly this year, exacerbating the existing affordability issues in Florida.

Despite the general rise in prices, at least three Florida cities are expected to experience a decline, based on insights from Realtor.com and real estate analytics firm Cotality. The cities identified are Tampa, Winter Haven, and West Palm Beach, each with a 70% chance of price reductions. These areas are considered at “very high risk,” reflecting the market’s response to previous price surges driven by high demand.

The state’s population influx has decelerated, with factors such as high home prices, increased mortgage rates, and surging insurance costs dampening buyer interest since 2022. According to Hannah Jones, a senior economic research analyst at Realtor.com, rising insurance costs, influenced by the threat of climate-related events, have further strained the financial landscape for homeowners. ValuePenguin, a personal finance website under LendingTree, reported that Florida homeowners pay some of the highest insurance rates nationwide, averaging $2,207 annually.

The accumulation of high insurance, elevated mortgage rates, and costly home prices has made homeownership unattainable for numerous prospective buyers, as noted by Jones. Last year’s severe weather events in Florida may lead potential buyers to look elsewhere, considering the financial and climatic challenges.

Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida suggested on social media that he would support abolishing property taxes in the state, contingent on a constitutional amendment requiring 60% voter approval. DeSantis noted that property taxes are managed locally, not at the state level.

Meanwhile, housing inventory in Florida has increased considerably as newly constructed properties enter the market. This development could benefit potential buyers, as an abundance of available homes compared to demand might drive prices down. Jones added that, although home prices are likely to stabilize as the market seeks equilibrium, the extensive nature of Florida’s housing market means these changes will take time. Over the past three years, inventory levels have rebounded, and prices have moderated, hinting at a return to market balance.

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